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Methodology

Reading the Genny Index

The Genny Index is a single number between 0 and 1 that answers one question: how generational does the Solana memecoin market feel right now? 0 means dead-of-winter quiet. 1 means a once-in-a-cycle market where everything is firing at once. Most days live somewhere in between, and the number moves in real time as the trenches do.

Formula version genny-v1.9-live-calibrated-signals

The regime bands

The same 0–1 number, translated into a regime you can act on. Bands are guides, not hard lines — the index drifts smoothly between them.

Ice

0.00 – 0.16

Frozen. Almost nothing is moving — patience, not size.

Cooling

0.17 – 0.33

Thawing slowly. Pockets of life, but no broad conviction yet.

Stirring

0.34 – 0.50

Something is waking up. Watch for breadth to confirm.

Active

0.51 – 0.66

Real participation across multiple names. Tradeable conditions.

Heating Up

0.67 – 0.83

Momentum and capital are stacking. The trenches are running.

Generational

0.84 – 1.00

Once-in-a-cycle energy. Everything is firing at once.

The 11 components

Every reading is a weighted blend of eleven measurements. Weights are fixed and read straight from the live formula, so what you see here is exactly what powers the index.

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  1. Market conviction

    The market putting money where its mouth is.

    23%

    Blends DEX paid attention (DexScreener profile boosts and promoted listings) with raw volume and the spread of liquidity. High when real capital is committing, not just chatter.

  2. Volume momentum

    Is trade flow accelerating right now?

    20%

    Compares the most recent 30-minute volume against the trailing hour. Rising flow means the trenches are heating up; fading flow means momentum is rolling over.

  3. Market breadth

    Many names running vs one lonely ticker.

    12%

    Counts how many pairs and tokens are genuinely active versus the activity being concentrated in a single name. Broad participation is a healthier, more durable market.

  4. Liquidity depth

    How much liquidity is actually there.

    8%

    Looks at absolute liquidity plus fresh liquidity being added. Deep, growing pools let size move without nuking the chart.

  5. Liquidity distribution

    Liquidity NOT hoarded by the top token.

    10%

    Rewards markets where liquidity is spread across many tokens instead of trapped in one dominant name. Even distribution lowers single-token fragility.

  6. Buy / sell pressure

    A healthy, balanced buy bias.

    6%

    Measures the buy-to-sell balance. A modest buy bias (around 1.35x) scores best; runaway extremes in either direction are punished as unsustainable.

  7. Launch quality

    Quality of launches over raw deploy count.

    6%

    Weights Pump.fun graduations and respects market-cap ceilings. A few tokens clearing real milestones beats a flood of throwaway deploys.

  8. Calibrated outcomes

    Early outcome memory of signalled tokens.

    3%

    Tracks what recently-signalled tokens actually did: broke out, stayed healthy, stalled, or rugged. Lets the index learn from its own recent calls.

  9. Holder / liquidity trend

    Holders growing, liquidity sticking.

    2%

    Combines holder velocity, concentration changes, and liquidity retention. Rising holder counts with liquidity that stays put signal genuine accumulation.

  10. Source coverage

    Are our data sources fresh and healthy?

    5%

    Scores the freshness and health of every upstream feed. When sources go stale or degrade, this component drops and overall confidence falls with it.

  11. KOL / wallet activity

    What tracked wallets and KOLs are doing.

    5%

    Observes activity from known KOLs and tracked wallets. Smart-money movement is a leading tell, but it is deliberately a small slice of the overall index.

Source honesty

The index is only as good as the feeds behind it, so we never paper over gaps.

  • Degraded or stale sources lower confidence. Every reading ships with a confidence score that falls when upstream feeds go quiet, so a number built on thin data reads as exactly that.
  • We show provisional, not fabricated. When a panel cannot be trusted it says provisional, indexing, or unavailable instead of inventing a value to fill the space.
  • Coverage is a component, not an afterthought. Source coverage is one of the eleven inputs — when feeds degrade, the index itself notices and tilts toward caution.

The 11 components

Every reading is a weighted blend of eleven measurements. Weights are fixed and read straight from the live formula, so what you see here is exactly what powers the index.

Live data unavailable — showing fixed definitions
  1. Market conviction

    The market putting money where its mouth is.

    23%

    Blends DEX paid attention (DexScreener profile boosts and promoted listings) with raw volume and the spread of liquidity. High when real capital is committing, not just chatter.

  2. Volume momentum

    Is trade flow accelerating right now?

    20%

    Compares the most recent 30-minute volume against the trailing hour. Rising flow means the trenches are heating up; fading flow means momentum is rolling over.

  3. Market breadth

    Many names running vs one lonely ticker.

    12%

    Counts how many pairs and tokens are genuinely active versus the activity being concentrated in a single name. Broad participation is a healthier, more durable market.

  4. Liquidity depth

    How much liquidity is actually there.

    8%

    Looks at absolute liquidity plus fresh liquidity being added. Deep, growing pools let size move without nuking the chart.

  5. Liquidity distribution

    Liquidity NOT hoarded by the top token.

    10%

    Rewards markets where liquidity is spread across many tokens instead of trapped in one dominant name. Even distribution lowers single-token fragility.

  6. Buy / sell pressure

    A healthy, balanced buy bias.

    6%

    Measures the buy-to-sell balance. A modest buy bias (around 1.35x) scores best; runaway extremes in either direction are punished as unsustainable.

  7. Launch quality

    Quality of launches over raw deploy count.

    6%

    Weights Pump.fun graduations and respects market-cap ceilings. A few tokens clearing real milestones beats a flood of throwaway deploys.

  8. Calibrated outcomes

    Early outcome memory of signalled tokens.

    3%

    Tracks what recently-signalled tokens actually did: broke out, stayed healthy, stalled, or rugged. Lets the index learn from its own recent calls.

  9. Holder / liquidity trend

    Holders growing, liquidity sticking.

    2%

    Combines holder velocity, concentration changes, and liquidity retention. Rising holder counts with liquidity that stays put signal genuine accumulation.

  10. Source coverage

    Are our data sources fresh and healthy?

    5%

    Scores the freshness and health of every upstream feed. When sources go stale or degrade, this component drops and overall confidence falls with it.

  11. KOL / wallet activity

    What tracked wallets and KOLs are doing.

    5%

    Observes activity from known KOLs and tracked wallets. Smart-money movement is a leading tell, but it is deliberately a small slice of the overall index.